For a large number of homeowners, the past year dealt a serious blow to their property values. Some real estate professionals predict that 2009 will offer a turnaround in the housing market. They believe prices and interest rates are currently at about the low point and consumers will take the opportunity to purchase new homes and mortgage loans in the first quarter of 2009. Most financial analysts see it differently, however. They foresee a deepening of the economic recession and a continued downturn in home values. Buyers can currently find some good deals on homes and mortgage loans, which could spur sales in some areas. But the inventory surplus from foreclosed properties may continue to hold back the real estate market. Making matters worse are the mortgage loans at adjustable interest rates that will reset soon. Many predict that will contribute to the already overburdened inventory of homes. Some consumers who would like to buy right now are finding that they are not eligible for mortgage loans like they once were. Banks now have much more restrictive lending practices, resulting in less mortgage loans being awarded to applicants than there were prior to the credit crisis.
Many people who currently own properties would like to lock in the low rates and refinance their mortgage loans. The past week had the most applicants for mortgage loans in half a decade. About 80 percent of those applications were for refinancing. Unfortunately, a fair number of those who applied were denied. One mortgage lender in South Florida said that only about 5 of the 50 customers who called about refinancing recently qualified. Many markets across the country have homeowners who now have larger mortgage loans than the values of their properties, due to the drop in home values. Banks will not approve homeowners who do not have enough equity. To be eligible for refinancing, a consumer must now have an excellent credit score, own at least 20 percent equity in the home and have a low percentage of debt. This is in stark contrast to the lending standards for mortgage loans of just a few years ago.
Many refer to the previous loose lending standards as the wild west. Those standards often required little or no down payments for mortgage loans and appeared to disregard the credit worthiness of many applicants. Although the new lending standards may be compounding the already suffering real estate market, they will offer a necessary correction for a credit market that appeared to be out of control. We will have to wait and see if the new year will offer a renewed confidence in the credit market, and ample encouragement for consumers to take on new mortgage loans to get the ailing real estate market going again.